• WisPolitics


Friday, October 28, 2011

 9:14 AM 

Baldwin, Thompson in tight race according to poll

Dem U.S. Rep. Tammy Baldwin was within the margin of error with all four of her possible GOP opponents in next year’s Senate race, according to a new survey from the Dem firm Public Policy Polling.

Former Gov. Tommy Thompson was backed by 46 percent of those surveyed, compared to 44 percent who supported Baldwin, D-Madison. In August, Thompson led 50-42.

Baldwin and former U.S. Rep. Mark Neumann were almost even at 44 for the Dem and 43 backing the Nashotah Republican. In August, it was 44-40 in favor of Neumann.

Baldwin was back by 44 percent of those surveyed compared to 40 percent who supported Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald, R-Horicon, and Baldwin led state Sen. Frank Lasee, R-DePere, 44-37.

PPP said Baldwin’s improving numbers were largely due to her consolidation of the Dem base. She's the only announced Dem in the race so far.

But Thompson led her with independents by 13 points, Neumann by 6 and Fitzgerald by 1. Independents made up 32 percent of those polled; 37 percent were Dems and 31 percent Republicans.

Other than Thompson, those surveyed still don’t know the other candidates very well.

Baldwin was viewed favorably by 28 percent of those surveyed and unfavorably by 30 percent. Forty-two percent said they weren’t sure.

Fitzgerald’s split was 20-33-47, Lasee’s 6-19-75 and Neumann’s 23-30-47.

Meanwhile, Thompson’s numbers were split evenly 42-42 favorable-unfavorable with 16 percent not sure.

The automated phone survey of 1,170 Wisconsin voters was done Oct. 20-23 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.


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